Monday, April 26, 2010

Just Some Notes on the Draft:

First off, let me say that I love the new format. I was not sure what I thought about it being segregated in to three days (First day round one, Second day round two and three, Third day round four five and six), but the tams seemed to like it for the purpose of evaluation and decision making, and it was kind of exciting as a fan to have time to get excited again each day.

Second, it was a great day of surprises, trades, and suspense. Russell Okung falling to the 6th pick, Time Tebow being taken in the first round, Dez Dryant falling to Dallas, Jimmy Clausen taken late in the second by Carolina, and many more made it emotional and exciting.

Third, the Seattle Seahawks had one of the best drafts I have ever seen. The best offensive tackle in the draft (Russell Okong) fell to the 6th overall pick, and maybe the best safety in (Earl Thomas) was still there at 14th. Then if that wasn’t enough, they managed to get Golden Tate (WR) in the second round, arguably one of the top two wide receivers in the draft. What a year.

Lastly, it was a great opportunity to see the human condition at its best. There is nothing like seeing young men’s dreams come true. The tears shed with family and friends over the culmination of their life’s work is a moving experience. I am excited and happy for each of them, and wish all the best success.

Sunday, April 18, 2010

Happy Draft Day!!!

Well my friends, we have just a few days before the 2010 National Football League Draft. Here at True Football Fans, we are so excited we can hardly stand it. In fact, me and my friends can seem to talk about anything else. We have got the stage set. We all have our mock drafts done. We have talked a lot of crap, we have ironed our jerseys, we have the number for Dominos on speed dial. Got a frig full of beer. And now we are waiting like little kids under a Christmas tree for that most joyous day of the year.

I guess that is kind of the point I am trying to make here. The draft is such a great day. Football fans from all teams gathered. No reason to hate each other for one day a year. Good feelings about the next season. Reasons to have hope. Excitement over trades. It really has become a kind of holiday for me and many of my fellow True Football Fans. We look forward to it as much as the Super Bowl.

So let me just extend my season’s greetings to you. May all your hopes come true this draft. May your team get all the players it wants (except for those my team wants). Have fun, relax, and eat way too much. Happy draft readers.

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Who Got the Better Deal

So there was another huge move made in the National Football League this week as the Denver Broncos traded Brandon Marshal to the Miami Dolphins for two second round picks (the 2010 45th overall pick, and next year’s second round pick.

A quick evaluation. I think this was a good move for both team. I know that it is hard to believe that is ever a good idea to trade away a franchise player like Brandon Marshal, but it isn’t likely that the Broncos were not going to get a deal done with him. If they would or could, it would have happened by now, and Marshal would have been a free agent next year. Better to get something for the guy than nothing since the Broncos are not a contender right now.

Don’t get me wrong, I am not saying I would have made the move if I was Josh McDaniels, but I wouldn’t have traded Jay Cutler either. Since he decided to rebuild that team as his own, he has done a great job of getting a lot of good draft picks from which to draw new talent, and this is a nother move in that strategic direction.

It was also a great move for Miami. To get a player of Marshal’s caliber for two seconds is a steal. He is one of the most talented wide receivers in the league. Some teams spend countless picks, including first round picks, trying to get a guy like him. He also makes that offense on its way to being totally complete. They have their future quarterback (Chad Henne), the left tackle of the next decade and a half (Jake Long), their running back (Ronnie Brown) if he can stay healthy, and the now the wide receiver (Bradon Marshal).

So who got the better deal?...Time will tell.

Monday, April 12, 2010

Has Justice Ben Served?

So I know there are going to be 8 billion blogs posted on this subject, if there isn’t already, but I just wanted to make sure someone is addressing both sides of this issue. The Pittsburg Steelers wide receiver Santonio Holes trade to the New York Jets.

I know there are 8 billion bloggers and sports analysts condemning the Ronnies(Steelers owners) and the Steelers right now for the way they are treating Holmes who recently got his second drug possession charge, but how they are not treating Ben Roethlisberger who just got his second accusation of sexual misconduct. Look, I know it looks bad to come down on Holmes the way they did and Ben hasn’t been reprimanded yet, but there are some distinct differences to take into consideration before passing judgment.

First, Ben has not been convicted of any crimes. I know it looks bad, but innocent until proven guilty. Now I am not saying he hasn’t made some bad decision, he has, but he has not broken any laws he has been proven guilty of. Holmes has.

Second, the Steelers were probably looking to get rid of Holmes any way. Mike Wallace emerged last year. Ward is under contract for the next few years. They drafted Sweed in the second round two years ago and still are hoping he develops. They just pick Randle El back up. And holes was due 8 million dollars, they probably weren’t going to retain him anyway with his troubles and they could use the cap space (assuming there is ever another cap).

Third, the Ronnies have been a staple of fair and equal treatment in this league for year. They are staunch advocates of minority hiring and have been a bright spot of ownership in the NFL for decades. Give them the benefit of the doubt here and know Ben’s time will come.

Thursday, April 8, 2010

Booms Bust Steals & Rip Offs

So here it is. The 2010 National Football League Draft Boom, Bust, Steal, Rip Off list. This is a short list of those players that are going to live up to expectations (Booms), fail to meet expectations (Bust), are going to way out perform their draft status (Steals), and those that are no worth their draft status (Rip Offs).

Booms:

Russell Okung – This guy has it all. The feet, the feel, the size and the experience. He will be the next Joe Tomas.

Dez Bryant – The best looking receiver since Calvin Johnson. He has all the physical tools. The hands, the concentration, the speed, agility, acceleration, size. If it wasn’t for some media trouble he would be a top 5 or 10 pick.

Bust:

C.J. Spiller –
Here is a lack of options pick. Spiller is a good back with a little bit of everything, but he doesn’t have that 1 thing. You look at all the good backs in the league and they do it all well, but the best have that one thing (LT’s vision, AP’s explosion of speed and power…)

Taylor Mays – Here is the next Roy Williams (Cowboys Safety). He is extremely one dimensional, and that just doesn’t work in the NFL. Safeties, even strong safeties need to be somewhat versatile, and Mays is not. He would be better suited for an outside linebacker position if he could gain another 25 lbs. Either way, he is going to bust at safety.

Steals:

Eric Berry – This guy is the next Troy Palamalu or Ed Reed. He has it all. The coverage skills. The hard hitting mentality. The intellect. The speed. Even though he is defiantly a top 10, his value is number 1, so he is a steal anywhere after that.

Jimmy Clausen – If he falls below the top 10, this guy is the steal of the century. It isn’t often that you get a QB that is ready to start in the NFL day 1, and Clausen is. He has the vision, he reads great, is able to work through 3rd and fourth progressions, has great pocket awareness, and has the physical talents (arm strength, size, speed and accuracy). He also has higher potential than even Sam Bradford.

Rips Offs:

Some of the late first round offensive tackles (Charles Brown & Rodger Stafford) – Everyone can use another tackle so people tend to reach at this position. Carolina did it a couple years ago for Sam Baker moving back into the first round. How has that turned out?

Brian Price – There are so many teams looking for a Defensive nose tackle that teams are reaching this year. Now don’t get me wrong, this is the year to do it, but Brian Price in the first round???

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Sorry Seattle?

Well the last week has done a lot to shape up what is going to happen on Day 1 of the 2010 National Football League draft, and I thought I would take a minute and shed some light just in case you haven’t figured it out.

Picked number 1 overall in the 2010 NFL draft by the St. Louis Rams is quarterback Sam Bradford out of Oklahoma. That’s right, St. Louis cut Mark Bulger from the team this week leaving no doubt that St. Louis is taking Bradford. Now there is always the possibility that they will go after Jimmy Clausen, but all indications are they prefer Bradford.

So what does this mean, Detroit now has whatever player they want. It was possible for the rams to take Suh or Okung (which are the top two on Detroit’s board), but now they have to take a QB.

The next bomb shell was Washington trading for Donovan McNabb. It was possible for them to take Bradford if St. Louis didn’t, or Clausen if they deemed him worth, but not now. Now they are going to take a Defensive or offensive linemen. This is going to depend who is on the board.

If Detroit takes Okung, it is likely that Washington will take one of the remaining D linmen (Suh, McCoy or Morgan). If not, they will take Okung.
So that means Rams take Bradford, Detroit takes Okung or Suh, the Bucks take McCory or Morgan, and Washington takes Okung or Suh.

So what does this have to do with Seattle? They were hoping the Rams would take Suh, the lions would take Okung, Bucks would take McCoy, the Redskins would take Morgan leaving KC with Berry and they would have Bradford fall in their laps.

Sorry Seattle?

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

For Your Draft Needs

If you are a True Football Fan like me then there is only one thing that you are thinking about right now! The National Football League Draft. That’s right ladies and gentlemen, the draft is almost here. And if you are a True Football Fan like me, then you want to know what is going to happen before it happens. You want a breath of knowledge about the players your team could take. You want to evaluate the experts to see if they really know what they’re talking about. You just want good draft info!

With the draft right around the corner there is a plethora of information out there for you to take in. Combine results, college number, and professional analysis. So who do you turn to for the best information…No one! Let me tell you, Mel Kiper and Todd McShey are usually not even close. I have been doing mock drafts for years and never been beat by either of them. You can do a better job trust me.

What you need is simply a good source of information from which to judge for yourself. And for that, I turn to the annual Sporting News draft magazine. They have the most comprehensive coverage of players and analysis, they provided the most accurate portrait and predictions of team needs, and they have the most current information of all the magazines available.

Sure there are a lot of online sources you don’t have to pay for, and their information may be more current, but you never know the qualifications of these analyst. Sporting news is both reputable and recommended by this site.

Monday, April 5, 2010

Here We Go Again!

Making the case for Washington’s best quarterback. Washington has been looking for a franchise quarterback since… well since Joe Theismann retired. Well finally they have him, he completed 64.5% percentage of his passes, threw for 3600 yards and twenty touchdowns and all this to a group of receivers either ridiculously young or ineffective, and his best target was injured for a majority of the year. This guy even managed this in spite of having a new offensive coordinator every year of his career, and a running game that was horrid at best last year, behind an aging, oft injured offensive line. Aren’t you impressed by these amazing accomplishments and excited about the new, brighter future of the Washington Redskins?

I was, and then they muddied the waters by bringing in Donavan McNabb. Oh… you thought… no no, those were Jason Campbell’s statistics, McNabb is older, less accurate (has not had greater than 61.5% completions since 2004), and has more turnovers per start than Campbell. But hey Philadelphia has surrounded McNabb with superior talent for most of his career so he must be better right!....maybe? Washington figured that in spite of an inept front office the last 10 years they could erase most of that damage by bringing in a different quarterback. I will get criticized, hated, tarred and feathered for saying it, but Washington would have been better off saving the draft picks, starting Campbell and surrounding him with more talent, instead of playing the Donovan McNabb sweepstakes.

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Another Great Blog

I know that on this site we often criticize main stream sports media sighting its elementary nature and pop culture focus, but trust me when we are not so arrogant to believe we have all the best information or that no one else is capable of good analysis. In fact, quite the contrary. There are some really great sights and information out there for True Football Fans.

I know some of you might be wondering, where is it we turn for our information, so as much as I like to bash on other National Football League blogs, sites and analysts, I do still believe that there are a lot of good ones out there. In fact, there are some that we strive to reach the high standards they have set.

One in particular is the Sports Gab Network (www.sportsgabnetwork.com). I thought I would take a moment and promote and congratulate this blog on its excellence. This site is a comprehensive blog dedicated to in depth analysis and new for each team, and the league itself.
This site provides recent information as well as archived data on each team. It addresses everything from rosters, to free agency, to draft analysis, to anything you could imagine would impact your team or the league.

The Sports Gab Network maintains a high level of accuracy, relevance, timeliness and credibility. Their articles are insightful and accurate. The analysis is deep and broad in scope. Their writes are both intelligent and dedicated fans obvious by their writing.

Here at True Football Fans, we would suggest this to all our readers or those of you who just love football.

Sunday, March 28, 2010

When You Want the Best Insight

For me, as a True Football Fan, I am always looking for new and objective football information and news. With a plethora of National Football League web sites out there, it is often hard to find reliably good and objective insight and data. So where should you go. For that, I would suggest that you ask yourself a few questions:

What kind of information am I looking for?

Real news and information that impacts my team and league, or gossip about Tom Brady?
What do I want to learn?

Knowledge about important issues facing the NFL and the intricacies or the game, or just how many yards AP had last week.

Who am I getting this information from?

Dedicated fans with a lot of experience, or analysis getting paid to cater to the masses.

You see, there are two types of fans, those who watch their team on Sunday’s (and sometimes Monday’s) during the season. These fans can probably tell you who their quarterback, running back, and maybe even who their coach is. They have no idea if there team runs a 3-4 or a 4-3 or the difference in the two. There not sure who their team got in free agency. They don’t watch when their team is not going to the playoffs. And they have no idea about the rest of the league.

Then there are the True Football Fans. There is no off season for us. It is 24/7/365! We want to know it all. How it works. Who is running it. How it is being done, and much more. We want the latest, most insightful, meaningful, relevant, and encompassing news and information we can get. And for that, there are a few good sights. One of them is For True Football Fans (fortruefootballfans.webs.com). If you are one of these fans, come check them out.

Saturday, March 20, 2010

Thank You Seattle!

Let me start by saying that I don’t think there is a single (maybe dozen) moves the Seattle Sea Hawks can make to have an impact on their season. Well, save trading for Peyton Manning. That is about as likely as Terrell Owens going back to the Philadelphia Eagles. However, their trade for the San Diego Chargers quarterback Charlie Whitehurst does have an impact on other teams. In fact, potentially a huge impact. Congratulations Seattle, you have become relevant again… For a minute. Ok, so what do you care about a never has been quarterback?... Two things.

First, The Sea Hawks did give up a third round pick for the guy. They did give him a two year 8 million dollar deal. And oh yeah, they did get a new coach, Pete Carol. Fine a third round pick isn’t huge, but it isn’t chump change. Any good team will tell you how important draft picks are. Second, 4 mill a year isn’t a ton, but it isn’t chump change unless he is the “potential” future. And third, Pete Carol may have not had much success in the NFL in the past, but they guy is SMART. This wasn’t just some random deal they paid too much for.

Second, the mock drafts all just go rewritten! Look there are a lot of teams that are looking for a quarterback this year. It just so happens that there are four or five pretty good ones in this draft. We all assumed that Seattle was going there. Not anymore. Not for the price they paid. Now that means that Bradford or Clausen could keep falling down the board. That means two things, if St. Louis and Washington don’t take quarterback (and with the DT, DE and OL this is possible), these guys could start a trade war!

It’s going to be interesting. Thank you Seattle!

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Um...Go Brown's!?!

So I realize that there is much more about the National Football league that I don’t understand, than I do. There are aspects about the NFL that I don’t even know how much I don’t know; talent evaluation, leading, media, play calling, scheming, managing, coaching, drafting, motivating, contracting, fitness, and the list goes on…

However, I also know that there is a lot I don’t know about…Um space. But there are some things you don’t have to be a rocket scientist to understand. Like the sun makes the planet warm. Sure it would be nice to understand the difference between fusion and fission, and what the spots and flares actually are, but you have no problems intuitively understanding that the sun produces heat that warms the planet detrimental to life’s continuation.

Similarly, I know without a doubt that it takes a good, even great, quarterback for sustained success in this league. It takes that player with something special, and they don’t come along often. Some time you have to find a diamond in the rough (Tom Brady), and sometimes it just takes time (Aaron Rogers). So could someone please tell me what I don’t get about the National Football League? I mean it, someone please respond and tell me how wrong I am. How is it that I can’t look back for a single season without seeing an NFL owners, General Managers or Coaches making some RIDICULOUS quarterback decisions!!! Like, I don’t know, say Denver trading that Jay Cutler loser??? Or how about Oakland’s genius idea to draft that 60 million dollar dude from LSU that is lazy, fat and pretty stupid.

I know that is a little harsh, but im not taking about questionable decision like the Drew Brees to New Orleans trade in 2006. There were good arguments on both sides, and we are not all going to agree on everything. I am taking about STUPID decisions. What am I not getting here?...I was hoping for a moment this might be the year to shut me up. I was wrong thanks to the Browns!

How do you let a second year first round pick (that you traded up to get) go?... And for almost nothing!

First off, Brady Quinn never got a chance to prove himself. If you weren’t going to give him a change, why did you draft him?

Second, apparently no one in Cleveland remembers the first couple seasons of a guy names Brees and a dude name Manning.

Third, Quinn is one of the most fundamentally sound quarterbacks I have ever seen in a draft class, GIVE IT SOME TIME!

Fourth, I am not sure the offspring of Joe Montana and Tom Brady could do anything on a team that bad.

And lastly, why give him up for nothing? It’s not like he was making that much money? I mean, don’t get me wrong, there are too many good Cleveland Brown’s quarterbacks to count right now…WAIT, NO THERE ISNT.

Guess there is just something I don’t understand here.

By: Matthew Walden

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Free Agent Wrap Up

Free agency is a time of year for teams and fans to get excited. It is a chance for your team to go out and pick up that missing piece that may put you over the top (Like Bret Favre to the Minnesota Vikings last year). Or maybe a chance to get that once in a life time player to build your franchise around (Like Drew Brees to the New Orleans Saints in 2006). Maybe you even want to go beyond that. Maybe you are a True Football Fans, and want to know how other teams around the league are going to affect things next year and for years to come. Maybe you are a 365 day a year fan that wants to know it all. With so many moves happening right now in free agency, it is hard to keep track of them all. It is hard to find the time to keep up with all the news. So we here at TrueFootballFans.com have went ahead a put the list together for you of all the important moves so far and what we think of them

Chicago Bears – Julius Peppers (Way over paid!!! Awful Move)
Chester Taylor (Cheap insurance, Smart Move)

Jacksonville Jaguars – Aaron Kampman (Depleted line needed the help, Great Move)

Miami Dolphins – Karlos Dansby (This has the Big Tuna written all over it and he knows you need two sides of the ball to be a champion so who am I to judge, Awesome Move)

New York Jets - Antonio Cromartie (3rd round pick? Well worth the role of the dice on his injuries, Great Move)

Baltimore Ravens – Anquan Boldin (He is injured a lot but you didn’t give up much for the only piece you are missing, the only question is he worth the 10 mil a year he is going to want, Good Move)

Atlanta Falcons - Dunta Robinson (Heck yeah I’ll take the guy, but he better be gold plated for that kind of money especially since he only plays two out of three game, Bad Move)

Kansas City Chiefs – Thomas Jones (Wait…2.5 mil…Ill take two, Awesome Move)

Detroit Lions – Lots of Defensive Players (At least some one has finally seen the light in Detroit, cant will if you need 63 points a game to do so, Awesome Moves)

New York Giants - Antrel Rolle (He isn’t cheap, but who is going to even attempt to through the ball against you now, Great Move)

Denver Broncos – Jamal Williams (Fine, I understand the enticement, but the guy hasn’t show up for years now, OK Move)

Cincinnati Bengals – Antonio Bryant (Expensive, poor work ethic, mediocre talent, troublesome and a big enough price tag when you are trying to get TO? Horrible Move)

Thursday, March 4, 2010

2010 Free Agent- Defensive Linemen

The 2010 NFL free agent Defensive line class pretty deep, the only issue is that I don’t think many of them are actually going to be available. Good defensive linemen, especially pass rushers and nose tackles are just too hard to come by to let one go, but here are the candidates anyway.

Elvis Dumervil (Denver Broncos) Here is the big prize in this year’s class. This guy has been getting better and better each year he has been in the league, including leading the league in sacks last year. This guy was a key to the Broncos defensive turn around last year, and they would be out of their mind to let this guy go. Most experts believe the Broncos will spend the money to retain this guy, but they may be wrong. The Broncos only slapped a mid level tag on Dumervil and that is going to prompt a lot of teams to make offers. This was either a huge mistake by the Broncos or an attempt to get compensation for the guy, which would also be a big mistake. A good pass rush is essential in todays passing league and guys like this just don’t come along often enough.

Julius Peppers (Carolina Panthers) This maybe one of the most talked about free agents this year, but not in a positive light for Peppers. Everyone has realized that he just isn’t consistent, versatile or young enough to be considered elite anymore. He had the contact on the table from the Panthers last year and turned it down. Peppers has cost himself millions. Don’t get me wrong, they guy is still good, but not elite. His 10ish sacks and ok at best run defense is worth about 5 mill a year, not the 10 he is looking for. If your team ends up with this guy, don’t be excited, you probably over paid!

Aaron Kampman (Green Bay Packers) In my opinion Kampman is one of the most underrated 4-3 defensive ends in the league. The only problems is Green Bay moved him to 3-4 outside linebacker??? I know that Green Bay wanted to make the move to 3-4 and with their personnel, a passing league, and the price tag of good defensive linemen, I don’t blame them. However, they don’t have much of a need or reason to keep Kampman around. This guy should be a steal for a team looking to compliment a pass rusher. I could see Kampman ending up somewhere like St. Louis or Washington.

Adewale Ogunleye (Chicago Bears) Ogunleye still wants to start, but I am not sure there are many teams that are going to give him that chance. They guy is still a great situational pass rushers, but no longer a 3 down player. This is going to depend on how much money he is looking for. If he doesn’t want much, the Bears will retain him. If he wants a lot, look for a team like Pittsburg, who could use that situational pass rusher, to take a look at him.

Ray Edwards (Minnesota Vikings) This guy is being hyped after a good season. Maybe no one noticed, but he is playing on the same line as Pat and Kevin Williams and Jarred Allen? My grandma could make the Pro Bowl playing next to those guys. With the age of Pat and Kevin, I look for Minnesota to try and get a contract worked out, But make no mistake, if that doesn’t happen someone will over pay this guy and be disappointed.

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Cromarti?... Nice Try!

So I admit I am a bit emotionally disturbed. To fast a start for you huh? All right, I will ease into this a little slower then.

Antonio Cromartie, who is an absolutely brilliant cornerback was placed on the trading block by Chargers GM A.J. Smith. My first reaction was OHMYGOD!OHMYGOD!OHMYGOD!OHMYGOD! (SQUEEEEEEEEEEEAL) ALL HE WANTS IS A FIRST ROUND PICK!! But before you petition your favorite franchise to sell their soul for a shutdown corner via blockbuster trade lets consider the source.

A. J. Smith is a Gm who has a pretty solid track record, not to say that he has been perfect, but I would argue he rivals the best personel guys in the league. My proof? He drafted Eli Manning, then traded him for what would end up being Phillip Rivers, Shawne Merriman and Nate Keading, all of which have made Pro-Bowl appearences. He kicked Marty Shottenhiemer out the door (hey, I like the guy to, but lets be objective for once) to bring in Norv Turner who has not had a great deal more success but certainly has not had any less. He drafted Cromartie in spite of Cromartie having not played football the previous year due to injury. Then Cromartie turned around and had a pro-bowl season in 2007.

A.J. Smith knows how to stock a franchise with the best talent available, to me that says that there must be a serious long term health issue with Cromartie. I doubt it is the knee that needed reconstructed after his college career, rather it is probably the hip he broke in 2008 that has never fully healed. In my mind if A.J. Smith is willing to part with Cromartie, he is off my list of trade worthy players, at least at the price that A.J. is asking and someone will inevitably pay.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

It is not the end of the World...Yet!

So everyone is worried about the effect of the uncapped year on the NFL. I am going to make a wild and crazy prediction now: No one will notice. Now that I have made my prophecy I will just sit back, wait for those with deep pockets to notice my brilliance and cash out when the time is right…It may be a while though, so in the meantime let me explain.

Due to the uncapped year players now have to accrue 6 years of service to the franchise that drafted them instead of 4, before they become unrestricted free agents. Since most rookie contracts run 3-5 years this means that lots and lots of guys who would have been unrestricted free agents are now able to be tagged at a pretty affordable price. Thus, all the good young talent in the NFL is going to be locked down by their respective franchises for at least one more season. Not to say that there will not be a few key players available, Peppers (we already talked about this), Karlos Dansby, some other key players could move by trade, but even with an uncapped year no team will be able to just spend away and get tons of good talent because there is not tons of good talent available, there are a few guys available and lots of lower tier role players.

About now you are asking, well what if Jerry Jones with his deep pockets decided to go after ALL the big names? Well here is a little secret, the teams that finished in the top 8 in the league (participated in divisional round playoffs) can only take in an equal number of and contract values worth of free agents as they brought in. So essentially any team that won a playoff game can make lateral moves at best. Not conducive to getting over the hump. However if Daniel Snyder in Washington decided to go get all the free agents out their then…well he might actually have a playoff team.

Monday, February 22, 2010

2010 NFL Free Agents - Defensive Backs

Ok, so if your team is in need of a good cornerback, you are looking in the WRONG place!!! There is little to no help to be found in this free agent class. A lot of has beens and never was. Here are the limited high lights.

Dre’ Bly (San Francisco 49ers), Nick Harper (Tennessee Titans), Walt Harris (San Francisco 49ers), Anthony Henry (Detroit Lions), Ken Lucas (Seattle Seahawks) Here are the 30 something’s that will be hitting the market. It’s a sad truth that youth is an almost essential part of being a good (even productive) corner in this league. Most of these guys have all outlived their prime, but if you just need some depth or a nickel or dime corner you might consider one of these guys. But don’t get delusions of glory that these cats are going to produce as they once did.

Leigh Bodden (New England Patriots) Here is a guy that was thought to be washed up when he left the lions, hence the one year deal with the Patriots, but he proved this year to be a quality corner. He is a quality number one and a shutdown number two. Don’t look for the Patriots to let him go unless he just want a ridiculous amount of money. Which could happen with the lack of depth in the free agent and draft class this year for corners.

Richard Marshall (Carolina Panthers) Marshall could play safety for the Steelers, hell maybe even linebacker. He is young, though, smart and only lacks a little bit of pure speed and agility to be elite. He is better suited to play in a 3-4 where talking is more of his responsibility, but Carolina can’t let go of a good young corner (too hard to come by). And if Peppers leaves (maybe if not), look for this team to think of switching defensive style anyway. Basically, this guy isn’t going anywhere!

Tramon Williams, Will Blackmon, (Green Bay Packers) Both are restricted free agents, but not trade bait. This comes don’t to one thing. Is Harrison and Woodson coming back. Both guys are still performing, but there comes a time when you got to hang it up. I don’t think Green Bay (or anyone else for that matter) is convinced about these two, but they may be around out of necessity. This could go either way, but it will provide some insight into where the Packers may go in the draft. Either way, don’t get too excited if your team gets one of these guys.

Dunta Robinson (Houston Texans) Can we say career suicide? This guy just had to shut up and wait to get paid. He was a great young corner that was going to get his, but after holding out, and performing ok at best, he just cost himself money and credibility. And if you haven’t noticed, selfish players always seem to fade away (Where have TO and Chad been the last two seasons?).

Carlos Rogers (Washington Redskins) This guy was in the same boat as Robison mentioned above, but showed what can happen if you get your act together. Here was one of the most talented corners I have ever seen, but his ego and pocket book got to him. Got sent to a poor system, and faded away. Since then, Rogers has grown up, got into a good system, and is back to his former self. In fact, I would say he is back to elite. If he wasn’t playing on a bad team, I think more people would have taken notice. I don’t see Snyder letting him go with an excuse to write blank checks with no cap this year. Washington will keep him. Hats off to you thought Rogers.

Sunday, February 21, 2010

2010 NFL Free Agent - Offensive Linemen

There are a lot of good offensive line free agents in this class, but not a lot of Allen Fanecas. No real impact players that could give you an anchor to build around. But there are some great compliment players to fill a weak spot or solidify your line.

Chad Clifton (Green Bay Packers) His play waned last year, but in my opinion it was not due to his abilities, but instead due to injury and a lack of help on the inside. It is no great secret that Green Bay could not protect against the blitz last year and will probably look to reconcile that in a deep offensive line draft class. Green bay could go either way here; it kind of depends on how much Chad wants. If not, look for a team like San Diego, who could use a good run blocker, to take him.

Logan Mankins (New England Patriots) Here is probably the best offensive linemen in this class. Too bad the Patriots won’t let him go. Historically New England does not like to pay big money for players, but when it comes to protecting Tom Brady, spare no expense! But make no mistake, there are plenty of teams that would give up the picks to get this guy. The 49eres or the Seahawks would love to have this guy and have the picks. Especially since they are both likely to take quarterbacks on the first day of the draft this year.

Marcus McNeill (San Diego Chargers) Here is the problem with McNeil, INCONSISTANCY! This guy is young, strong and talented, but he just doesn’t produce all the time. That is a big problem at left tackle when you are protecting a franchise quarterback. I think this one could also come down to money. The Chargers have to worry about resigning Sproles and Jackson, and in an uncapped year, they know their value in the market and so does McNeil. You can tag them all, so you have to make a decision, and I don’t see someone spending picks on McNeil with a deep draft class. This could be a hold out situation.

Jared Gaither (Baltimore Ravens) There is no way the Ravens let this guy go. He will either get his contact or a tag. Sorry AFC North. Good Luck with that.

Willie Colon (Pittsburgh Steelers) Look for Colon to get a contract. He isn’t a great player and has been a disappointment, but right bow Pittsburg just doesn’t have options. Pittsburg will likely draft a linemen day one this year, but they have more than one hole to fill up front. For now, Colon will have to do at right tackle. Don’t get me wrong, he is a good run blocker, but let just say it’s a good thing been is durable.

Jammal Brown, Jahri Evans, Jermon Bushrod (New Orleans Saints) The Saints have three guys that are due new contracts, and after a Super Bowl season, they are all going to want paid and there is just no way to afford all of them. Look for Evans and Bushrod to get paid, but Brown will be the odd man out. After his injury last season, Bushrod came in and did at least as good as job, if not better, than brown, for less money. However, that does put Brown on the Market or make him trade bait for New Orleans at the 32nd overall pick. Brown is a great player, I just don’t see it being worth it to New Orleans to keep both of them. Brown could end up on any number of teams if he is released, but if the Saints want draft picks compensation, it will narrow quickly. This will be one to watch if your team needs a lineman.

Donald Penn (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) Is one of the most underrated left tackles in the league. He isn’t going anywhere. Especially considering the chance that Tampa take a QB early in this draft.

Thursday, February 18, 2010

2010 NFL Free Agents - Running Back

Maybe not as deep as the receiver pool, but there is a lot of quality all the same in the 2010 running back free agent class. There are many quality players here to help out teams in need of a good running second back. There are even some notable game changers.

Ronnie Brown (Miami Dolphins) here is one of the most intriguing free agent of the season. Brown is an unrestricted free agent, so that means he is free game. When this guy is on the field he has proven to be a game changer and maybe even one of the best back in the league. The only problem is that he isn’t always on the field. Two season ending injuries are going to hurt browns chances to get paid. And it is going to give Miami pause to resign him. I would love this guy on my team, but not for more than 4 or 5 million with his injury history. This could be a steal for with some money and in need of a back. I could see Arizona or Kansas City taking as a potential home

Pierre Thomas (New Orleans Saints) Don’t look for Thomas to hit the market. This guy will get signed soon! He is too good and too young and too versatile for New Orleans to let him get away. And the presents of a good back allows them to keep bush in a spot roll which works well for them. There probably wont be a lot of offers made anyway with his lack of experience. I know it’s going to be hard for them to afford, but with the cap gone its going to happen even though they have not historically been big money spenders. Sorry guys!

Darren Sproles (San Diego Chargers) in my opinion this guy is the best value at this position this year. He is a speed, agility and power back all in one, and after a down year for him (due to the Chargers run game, not Sproles) he is going to have a moderate tag. Look for San Diego to try and retain him, maybe even tag the guy. But if they don’t, he is going to have a starting job and a 7 million dollar a year contract from someone. He might even anyway if scouting reports are any indication someone will give up some picks for this guy.

Le’Ron McClain (Baltimore Ravens) NOT GOING ANYWHERE! This guy maybe the most exciting fullback since Mike Allstot. There is no way the Ravens let him go. Especially with the production Ray Rice has with him on the field. But this may free up McGhee for a cut.

Willie Parker (Pittsburgh Steelers) Willie is in more than a slump. He has been less than productive since his knee injury a couple of years ago. He still has the wheels, but doesn’t seem to have the burst. Pittsburg has already made the change to Mendenhall as a starter and they don’t like to pay guys who aren’t producing. Parker should be in another jersey next year. Look for him to end up behind a power back somewhere like the Jets or Giants, maybe even the Redskins.

LenDale White (Tennessee Titans) can we say complimentary back only. Look for one of those teams that lost one of the above mentioned backs to take a look at white. He is a fantastic compliment to any system, but when you got Chris Johnson, you don’t need a Cadillac backing up; you just need something that runs. You can get that with a 6th round pick for no money so why resign the guy unless its really cheap. And I don’t look for White to want to sit.


Kevin Faulk (New England Patriots) the best nobody in the league for the last several decade. The guy just goes out and gets it done in every situation. He doesn’t turn the ball over, can do it all, and is a leader. I would look for a team like Minnesota, who has a great back but can’t afford to lose the running game due to injury if Farve retiers, to look for another back like this to replace Taylor. The other scenario is that maybe someone is planning on drafting early and needs some insurance and veteran guidance. This guy is a hall of fame backup if they had those.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

2010 Free Agents - Wide Recivers

Now that we talked about the what free agents quarterbacks could possibly be under center (or not be under center) for your team, let’s take a look at who they could be throwing to. It is a star studded field this year for free agent wide receivers.

Terrell Owens (Buffalo Bills) should not be back in Buffalo for a second season. No because he doesn’t still have “IT” (or at least most of it), but because there is no reason to pay a player close to 10 million dollars a year in that situation. No QB, mediocre Defense. I applaud buffalo for taking the chance last year, and attempting to get better, but you guys just don’t have the infrastructure. Sorry. But with no salary cap this year, look for Owens to get a nice (short) contract. My money is that Dan Snider (Redskins) or the Bears jump at this chance if they can’t get anyone younger.

Brandon Marshall (Denver Broncos) is the big prize here, he has had some of the best and most consistent numbers over the last few years, and he is young. And despite the off the field trouble, he manages not to get into too much trouble. Someone is going to take a chance on this guy, he is just too good. But who? He is a restricted free agent meaning that it will cost a first and third round pick to get him away from Denver. The question becomes is he worth the trouble? And do we want to pay anymore first round picks after snagging two for Jay Cutler. It is hard to say, but look for him to end up somewhere about 2 days before the draft.

Braylon Edwards (New York Jets) this guy has not produced in two years, and has really only manage one good (Great) season during his career. He is going to get paid because there is no cap and people go crazy during free agency (hence Bennard Berrian getting 8 mill from the Vikings a few years ago). However, the question is wheatear the Jets can unload him. Once again, only because there is no cap, I’m going to say yes, but this is not something your team should be happy about. Look for Dallas to potentially get involved. Especially if they can’t get Austin back.

Miles Austin (Dallas Cowboys) young, explosive, consistent, fast, great hands, crisp routes… Jerry paid TO 10 million a year and gave up a first rounder for Williams and didn’t get all that. There is no way this guy gets out of Dallas. He might as well not be a free agent, so forget it.

Others to consider:
Vincent Jackson (San Diego Chargers) Steve Breaston (Arizona Cardinals), Chris Chambers (Kansas City Chiefs), Derrick Mason (Baltimore Ravens) here are the player that you should really be excited about. Here are the players that your team could actually end up with if your not Dallas, Washington or New York, and for a good price too!!! These are the kinds of players that show up each week, you have no problems with, don’t ask for that much money, and always produce. Free agency is not to build a team, its to compliment it, and here are the best values.

Notable: Look for Chad Johnson and Anquan Boldin to be on the trading block before draft day.

By: Matthew Walden

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Free Agent 2010 - Quarterbacks

Now that the season is over, there is nothing else to look forward to… Unless you are a True Football Fan. If you are, then its just getting started! That’s right my fellow football zealots, free agency starts in less than a month. Here is a great chance for your team to accessorize. A chance to get that player to put your team over the top and make them competitors, a recognition of draft needs, or maybe just to get some more wins on the board. Either way, there are some great options out there this year for those teams that can afford it. So get ready to buy those new jersey’s or hang up the old ones, cause here is what to expect.

Kyle Orton (Denver Broncos) I know this wont make Bronco’s fans happy, but he is your guy. At least for another year or so. Orton had a quietly great year, and has developed into a great game manager. He was really consistent last year, and that’s what the new Coach is looking for. Don’t forget that the Broncos have the Bears first round pick and a shot to get one of the top quarterbacks in this year’s draft. A guy for the future. That guy is going to need time to mature and a quality mentor. That spells new contract for Orton. A how could Orton complain; he is on a quality team with a chance to win now.

Chad Pennington (Miami Dolphins) is an unrestricted free agent this year, and after his subpar year and injury issues, look for Miami to let him go and hand the reigns over to one of their younger options. And as far as Chad’s future, don’t look for him to put up big numbers again unless the guy he is backing up goes down with injury. Chad is now a life time backup.

Daunte Culpepper, (Detroit Lions) & Charlie Batch (Pittsburgh Steelers) are two quality free agent backups. Especially Batch, but I’m not sure that Pittsburg can afford to keep him around. Look for one of these two guys to end up in Arizona with Matt Linhert and who knows about the other. But if you get them, it should be piece of mind that your season is over just because your starter went down.

Jason Campbell, (Washington Redskins) & Tarvaris Jackson (Minnesota Vikings) Good bye! Both teams have seen enough. In fact I think every team in the league has seen enough. Fine, someone will give them a job as a snap holder, but that’s about it.

*Also, maybe look for Troy Smith (Baltimore Raves) to get a gig as a Wild Cat QB.

Monday, February 15, 2010

Say it isnt so Bill!!!

Here the media is all a twitter with how Bill Polian said the Colt’s Offensive line failed in the Superbowl. Let me first say that Bill Polian knows so much more about football than anyone who would write or read this blog that my opinion, or anyone else’s is of little consequence in the world of any NFL pro-scout, much less one of Bill Polian’s stature. That said, I really honestly believe that the Colts O-line was not the first place to look for the Superbowl loss. The game was ridiculously close, if not for the really bad route by Reggie Wayne and a Oh-My-God-Where-Did-This-Come-From interception (see my previous article on this specific issue) by Tracy Porter we would probably have ended up watching the first overtime in Superbowl history, but I digress.
I look at the statistics and at the gameplay equally. Statistically, Peyton Manning did not get sacked; he did not even get hit often. The Saints decided to battle Peyton from a coverage standpoint which is surprising considering he usually leads his team effortlessly downfield when all he has to do is recognize the coverage, Favre would have given his game check to have seen as little pass-rush attention as Manning did, so that is a win for the Offensive Line. Next up run blocking: during the regular season the colts averaged a bottom dwelling 3.5 yards per attempt, in the Superbowl that average rose to 5.2 yards per carry, one carry of which included a goal to go touchdown run by Joseph Addai. Another win by the Offensive line by just about any standard. I understand Polian being a smidge frustrated, but of all the places to dish out the blame, the Colts Offensive line was not the place.

Friday, February 12, 2010

Here We Go Again!

And so it begins, the world which once seemed dark and unforgiving begins to blossom with new possibilities from an aged presence which promises to bring renewed life into a previously stagnant stature.

What? You thought I was talking about Mother Nature initiating spring? No, that was a direct reference to Favre switching teams again. I mean c’mon, three franchises in 3 years, he was supposed to be the God-sent to all of them, and his retirement is constantly discussed yet we all know better than to think he will actually stop playing football. The reason I watch sports networks of any kinds is to know and learn more about sports. Perhaps some of you are laughing at my statement that seems exceptionally obvious, however, watch ESPN, or even NFL Network (albeit to a lesser degree) this offseason, all Brett Favre, all the time, doesn’t really matter what the specific idea is, just that we get some good ol’ fashioned drama. I did not turn on Desperate Housewives, I do not want drama, I want sports, sports that are specifically free of drama.

Each person has a certain ‘drama bank’ if you will, that they can pull from, the size of which is dependent on how much you have done in the league. For instance, Peyton Manning has a huge bank, uses very little. Brady, dates a supermodel, uses a fair amount of his drama bank, Favre, and I recognize this is the medias fault and not his (mostly) is in a massive Federal government style budget deficit in his off field drama bank.

All I want this offseason is to not here about Brett Favre, that is it. If I had a genie in a bottle, that would be wish number 1, no Brett Favre offseason drama, ever again. But, as with all things that are a part of the very fabric of the universe, this could not and will not happen, woe is….well, all true sports fans.

By: Matthew Walden & Aaron Tull

Thursday, February 11, 2010

You Can Have Him!

So the Superbowl is over and 31 teams are all saying ‘next year’. As we get around to all the offseason business one of the most significant names being mentioned is defensive end Julius Peppers. Peppers is scheduled to be an unrestricted free agent. The idea of free agency, at least from a players perspective, is that one will get the best price the market will bare. So for a guy who has had 6 years with double digit sacks and has only missed 6 games in an 8 year career, one would think the market could bare a great deal, and indeed it probably will. In fact one might even say that Peppers could end up being the leagues highest paid defensive player, then again he may not accept that deal, just not good enough. Why do I say this? Because after Peppers worst seasonal performance of his career (2007, 2.5 sacks) the Panthers recognized that they still had an elite pass rusher on their hands and offered to make Peppers the highest paid defensive player, keep in mind this was after Dwight Freeney had received his deal, so Peppers would have been signing a deal worth at least 12 million a year, not good enough. Peppers did a radio interview earlier this month and said that the offer ‘didn‘t feel sincere’. What more sincerity does someone need?
So here it is people, a guy who has his head so far up his bum that he cannot see fit to sign a record deal even after a slump season is no player for me. If I am running an NFL scouting office, I give Peppers a grade ‘I’, as in IDIOT. I know some NFL players are brighter than others, but this guy (and his agent, quite likely) is dumber than a bag of hammers. He would not know a good deal if it smacked him in the face, and a good deal will come March 5th in spite of his ignorance.

By: Matthew Walden & Aaron Tull

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Super Thoughts

Ok, so I know the few of your in the free world who wither away your lives by reading this blog are looking to make me eat some crow for saying that this game would be all offense, all day. Listen, the defenses played a part, but when the losing quarterback completed over 65% of his passes and only 1 turnover was created the whole game through, I have to be given some credit.
Furthermore, I contend that the big nail-in-the-coffin interception-return-for-touchdown by Tracy Porter was not nearly so much a great defensive play, more so a situational hazard. So, if you are still reading this it is probably only to punch a hole in my theory, but here goes it: Watch the play in slow motion: http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-cant-miss-plays/09000d5d81646e9e/SB-XLIV-Can-t-Miss-Play-Porter-seals-it .

The first thing one should notice is that the Saints are in man coverage with one safety over the top. Now focus on the slot receiver to the playside, Austin Collie, and observe how fast he makes his cut for the slant pattern. Then rewind and watch Reggie Wayne. Absolutely night and day, no comparison really. Wayne is supposed to do a slant pattern just like Collie, but instead does a little shake n bake to try to waver Tracy Porter’s man coverage. No dice Reggie. Manning throws the ball where Wayne should have been, but instead hits Tracy Porter in the gut. I played football for a few years and I got a couple interceptions in my day, but none came any easier than Tracy Porters game winner. Seriously, look at where Porter is standing when the ball is thrown, the ball literally would have given him a charlie-horse on the leg if he had not caught it. Not taking anything away from porter, he did his job, but let’s not create another Larry Brown episode OK people?

By: Matthew Walden & Aaron Tull

Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Wayne not Manning

I am a huge believer that football is a team sport. It takes everyone on the field to win or lose a game. Each effort on every play is equally important. One play can decide a game, a season or even a championship. No single triumph or mistake is the reason for success or failure. That being said, there are some actions whose consequences are greater than others.

Peyton Manning is getting a lot of flak for his late game interception during Sundays Super Bowl that all but sealed the victory for the New Orleans Saints. Many are saying that he lost them the game on one pass. Peyton has even taken the blame for the Mistake that was made, and that is the sign of a great leader. However, that play was not Peyton’s fault, nor was it the fault of the Indianapolis Colts team. The Colts were the better team in this game, and I thought out played the Saints even without their second best player (Dwight Freeney).

So who does the blame fall on? As much as I hate to say it, Reggie Wayne! He is one of the most underrated players of all time, and a staple of the Colts dynasty. His play is part of what has made the Colts so great for so long. All the same, he is the reason for the late game interception, not Manning. If you review the play, Wayne was on an option route. It was Wayne’s responsibility to recognize the coverage (Tracy Porter) playing off the receiver heads up. That reads as a slant route. Instead, Wayne ran a flag route. When a quarterback throws the ball, he does it before the receiver makes a move so the coverage can’t jump that pass (get in front of the receiver and intercept the ball). If Wayne had cut under the cornerback on a slant like he was supposed to, it would have been an easy pass and catch for 12 yards, instead the ball went straight into Porter hands.

To top it all off, Wayne had a relatively easy pass to tie the game with a couple of minutes left to tie the game. This would have at least given the Colts a chance to get an onside kick and the ball back. And we all know that if Peyton has the ball in his hands, there is a good chance he is going to score, especially since the saints had not stopped him all day.

I love ya Reggie, and I would still want you on my team any day. I feel for you, but to those of you blaming Manning, it wasn’t his fault. That was ALL on Wayne.

By: Matthew Walden

Monday, February 8, 2010

Best Worst Call in Super Bowl History

I just want to start by congratulating the New Orleans Saints on their first Super Bowl victory. They had a great season, and brought much needed celebration to a city so deserving. I think they are a hell of a team. I think Swan Peyton is an great coach, Drew Breeze is one of the top three quarterbacks in the league (no longer a two man race of Peyton and Tom), and their Defense was nothing short of stellar all season.

But not that I got that out of the way and can’t be called a Who Dat hatter, let me just say that I am already sick of hearing about Sean Peyton and his gutsy calls. I am disturbed at the fact that he is being applauded for his coaching triumphs. I cannot believe that there are so many sports announcers, columnist, bloggers and analysts out there singing his praises. Are you all stupid? Sorry for the word usage there, I know it’s a little elementary and strong, but no less appropriate.

I like Sean Peyton. I think he is a great coach, but that was the worst called Super Bowl I have ever seen. Yeah, ok I know it is easy to sit here after the win and it looks genius, we all know without a doubt that those fair weather fans in New Orleans would have had his head if they had lost the game.

Those calls were ridiculous. You are down 10 – 3 (1 Touch Down) and you go for it on fourth and short in the 2nd quarter? That is the hardest four yards in football. Then, not only do you go for it, but you take your bruiser running back to the outside against possibly the fastest defense in football. Then you don’t learn your lesson and try it again. That is plain and simply idiotic, not heroic. I though Drew said after the game that Peyton trust them, then why did he feel as though he had to score right then.

Second worst call of the game was the end around in the second quarter. One, the Colts Defense is too fast if you hadn’t noticed. Second, the defense has to be cheating for that to work. I mean even Madden players know that, how come an NFL coach doesn’t?

And for the “Best Worst Call in Super Bowl History”, the onside kick. You were only down four points! And that is after you managed to get three before the half ended after your last mistake! Don’t get me wrong, it was beautifully executed and obviously practiced. If it weren’t for the other awful calls that Sean Peyton had already made, I probably would have just called it gutsy, but he was making every rookie coach mistake he could.

The saints won that game, and even deservingly so, but NO THANKS TO SEAN PEYTON.

By: Matthew Walden

Saturday, February 6, 2010

How you can help the NFL

The National Football League has become the number one American sport. Americas’ sport if you will. When I strike up a conversation with strangers, sometimes I will ask “Do you watch Baseball” or “Are you a Basketball fan?” But I don’t even bother asking people if they are Football fans any more, I just ask who their favorite team is.

Football has not only replaced baseball and basketball as this countries favorite pass time, it has dominated it. It has made the NFL untouchable!... Or has it?

This week, in Miami during one of this countless Super Bowl week interview, Roger Goodell address concerns over the most important issue to face the NFL since its creation. A concern that most fans have no idea exists, or how devastating it could be for their game. That is the concer over the collective bargaining agreement… The what you say?

The collective bargaining agreement is essentially a contract between National Football Leagues Player Association (the players) and owner (of the teams) on and array of issues (retirement, salary, free agency, and so on) that governs the actions of said participants. What fans don’t realize is without this contract, there can be no season.

It’s like, have you ever seen a strike or a lock out at a local business or labor plant. You hear about people losing their job, picketing, and negotiations. I am sure most of you have even had someone affected by a strike. Well that’s just it. That is what is going to happen if a contact isn’t reached soon. There will essentially be no 2011 NFL season because both sides cant come to an agreement.

Now I know what a lot of you are thinking right now. Greedy players and owner!!! But it’s not that easy. There is more than money at stake here. There is the issue of injuries like concussions that concern players long term health, and what the NFL is going to do to protect them. There is the issue over entire franchises losing their teams. For instance, the Jaguars are in jeopardy of losing their team, and with it, the local community will lose much more.
There is a lot more at stake here than just money. But if you are a “True Football Fan”, you will find out more, and do what you can to make sure there is a 2011 NFL season. Find a petition, or write you teams. Get your voice out. Lets save the game we love so much!

By: Matthew Walden

Thursday, February 4, 2010

Peyton v.s. Tom and Super Bowl, and Super Bowl XLIV

One of the more famous debates among football circles is that over the best Quarterback in the league, or of all time. It is a timeless event for fans and professionals alike. Nothing gets our fan blooded hearts beating like arguing for our favorite players. We take pride in living vicariously through these discussion as if we were a tangible part of those players and teams that we have so invested yourself. This is one of my favorite things to do with friends, and one of the most famous debates over the last decade has been “Who is the best, Peyton Manning or Tom Brady?”

The arguments have been fierce and competitive, but Brady fans have always had one trump card that has been able to hush the Manning fans, and that is the three Super Bowl rings. My question is, does that all change if Peyton takes home his second on Sunday?
Peyton obviously has the statistical advantage. He has 50,000 passing yards to Brady’s 30,000. Peyton has 366 touchdown passes to Tom’s 219. Manning’s career passer rating wins by a margin of 95.2 to 93.3 (I do not believe passer rating is a good indication of quarterback quality; see my article Best Quarter Back Ever at http://fortruefootballfans.webs.com/.

However, Tom has three Super Bowl Victories and four appearances to Peyton’s one victory and one appearance. We all know that is the key stat for most of these conversations. It is the only reason Terry Bradshaw is even mentioned, and what keeps Dan Marino out of the argument.
So, does this close the discussion and serve to solidify Peyton as the winner? The answer is no… Peyton was already the winner.

We all respect Brady, but the truth is, it only took Brett Favre incredible numbers and one Super Bowl victory with a second appearance to be mentioned. Even though Tom has good numbers (including some amazing single season records), he just doesn’t touch Manning.

By: Matthew Walden

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Measuring the Loss of Freeney

For anyone who is paying attention to the Super Bowls coming up on Sunday, I am sure that you have heard the news that the Indianapolis Colst’s star defensive pass rusher Dwight Freeney is out (or at bests way less than 100 percent) for the big game. Some of you care already know, but for those of you who don’t, let me measure for you how big of difference this makes in the game.
The National Football League has now become a passing league for those of you who have not been watching for the last decade. Passes account for around 60 percent of the plays run in an average NFL season. And for some teams, like the Colts and Saints, it can be much more. That means that a pass rush is essential to defending against teams like these. So how much impact can a one guy, like Freeney, have on a team’s defense? Tremendous!

Example: Take a look at the Kansas City Chiefs. In 2007 Jared Allen was still a Chief. There defense, although not stellar, was ranked between 10th and 15th in the league (depending on what stats you include). Every other player on defense consistent, they fell to last or second to last (depending).

Not probative enough, then take a look at this year’s Pro Bowl which did not allow defensive pass rushing. The score was 34 to 41 and the net passing yards were 417 and 418 respectively. Those are pretty ridiculous numbers. And keep in mind that they were able to do this with players they are not use to playing with (no chemistry), out of a limited playbook (few plays and formations), and against the best defensive players in the league.

That is the kind of difference a player and a pass rush can have. So how big is the loss of Freeney to the Colts chances at a Super Bowl? Monumental!

By: Matthew Walden

Monday, February 1, 2010

So, for Storylines we have...What?

Ok, it is confession time. I am bi-polar, I must be because I love football but hate ESPN (sort of). Those things simply cannot go together can they? Well my reason is simply this: ESPN takes a storyline of their choosing the week before the Super-bowl and beats it to death like Holly Homemaker who found a mouse in her kitchen. I love the Kurt Warner story, or at least I did before Super-bowl XLIII when that was the only story ESPN told for 2 weeks. 2 Weeks people!! I wanted to hear about X’s and O’s, see commentary on some key matchups, maybe some interviews with players. But no, I was beaten incessantly with stories of a man bagging groceries. Just for clarities sake, I do appreciate the Kurt Warner story, but I do believe everyone heard it loud and clear during his first 2 Super-bowl appearances. What is it that these massive media companies are thinking when they harp on one thing for weeks or even months (thank you Brett Favre). Is it really what sells? Should I be thankful that their was only two weeks separating the Super-bowl from the previous games, lest the story continue to be told 12 hours a day until it was the only story on earth? I know that a vast majority of sports fans whom I hear from and talk to were more irritated by the Favre storyline this summer than entranced by it. Is the sports world devoid of quality storylines? Or is America so easy to reel in and capture that more is better not better is better? I feel thankful that Super bowl XLIV’s players are just good and relatively young; of course this lack of continuity of storyline could put mundane sports writers out of a job. I just do not get why a little quality original writing is so difficult, then again, maybe I should ask my other half maybe he knows.

By: Matthew Walden & Aaron Tull

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Seriously NFL.com?

Ok, so I know that I tend to be hard on ESPN and Sports illustrated often. I give their entire main stream media analyst a lot of criticism for boring stories, wrong information, armature analysis and generally having no insight. I am always criticizing then for irrelevant article and obvious reports. I know that a lot of you are probably thinking “I am just another complainer” or “what makes this guy think he is such a great analyst?”

Let me respond. First, I don’t think that I am the greatest football writer, just that I am better than these jokers, sitting at home with only my laptop. I am not trying to convince you to read this, my goal is to simply make you aware of better/alternative information and perspectives from which to gain more knowledge about the NFL.

Second, I have now provided some proof thanks to the staff of the Associated Press and the National Football league. In an article posted on the Wire Report of NFL.com, “Tebow struggles in Senior Bowl, 'open' to work on fundamentals” the writers discuss Tim Tebow’s performance at the 2010 Senior Bowl. The article labels Tebow’s performance as “struggling”. They list his stats for the game as 8 of 12 passing for 50 yards, no TDs no Ints, and imply a lack luster showing from the draft prospect.

Later when addressing the performance of Cincinnati’s Tony Pike, Once of Tebow’s competitors at the Quarterback position in the 2010 NFL Draft, the article stated his performance as “solid”. His stats we also listed, 5 of 12 for 45 yards, no TDs no Ints.

Am I missing something, or were Tebow’s numbers better/same?

By: Matthew Walden

Saturday, January 30, 2010

True Heros

Earlier this week Kurt Warner of the Arizona Cardinals (more famously of the St. Louis Rams), retired from the game of football after a twelve year career. I was deeply saddened by the news. My childish hope was to see the legend step back on the field for one last battle. But alas, he will ride off into the Arizona sun set never to be seen again. And maybe that is my fear. I am sure I am not the first to say it, but the National Football League lost one of the greatest players it ever had in Kurt Warner. In his short career, Kurt Warner went to three Super Bowls (more than Manning or Young). He holds the top three spots for yardage in a playoff game (More than Elway or Brady). Warner tied the great Joe Montana for most post touch downs in a single post season. He tied Dan Marion with at the fastest quarterback to reach 30,000 yards. He is one of only two quarterbacks to ever make the Super Bowl with two teams. He has the second highest passer rating in the post season. He has the second highest passing yards per game. Warner holds two MVP awards and a Super Bowl ring. He did more than any quarterback in the history of the game in such a short amount of time. And that may have been the least of his accomplishment. Most impressive still, he was you and me. Everyone knows the story (or should). He was the grocery store clerk turned NFL champion. He was the American dream, showing that anyone is capable of great things who believes in themselves and works hard. He was the player every kid wanted to be out on the playground, because he was them. He was an ordinary champion accomplishing extraordinary things.
By: Matthew Walden

Thursday, January 28, 2010

Pro Bowl Proclaimed

Ok, like many of you, I can’t get enough football. I love free agency. I love the Combine. I love the draft. I love training camp. I love the regular season. I love the post season. I love playing Madden. I love fantasy football. (Please note that I did not say I love the pre season. An article to follow on the subject.) But as much as I love the game, as much as I love everything about it and can’t get enough, I can’t ever seem to bring myself to watch a Pro Bowl. I am sure most of you know what I am talking about. And I hate that! I want to like the Pro Bowl! However, the NFL has done its best to make it a meaningless game. And I’m not talking about the critics that say fan votes shouldn’t count because too many times deserving players get left out because of pure volume of Dallas and New York fans. Fans are what make this game great. I am talking about the venue and the rules.

First off, Hawaii? What about the rest of the fans that would love to see all of their favorite players in person. We might be able to afford a ticket, but a plane trip to Hawaii too? Don’t think so! So hats off to the Commissioner this year for bringing the game back to American soil (yes I know Hawaii is a State, but come on, it’s funny and we were all thinking it.

Next, the rules. Can’t hit quarterbacks. Can’t blitz. Can’t use trick plays. Can’t run any type of Defense or offense you want. ??? Make it a real game or make it a fund game. The NFL has taken both those away, and with it any reason for watching.

Then there is the problem of the game having no meaning. Look at what Baseball has done giving home field to in the World Series to the winning league. That is meaning. And who doesn’t like seeing Kobe and LaBron going at it in the NBA All Star Game. It’s just more fun this way.

But, once again, congrats to the commish for correcting the venue and getting it into a time slot when you average fan still cares about the game. Great job!

By: Matthew Walden

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Imperfect Saints

Let me start by saying congratulations to the New Orleans Saints for their advancement to the 2010 National Football League World Championship. Their efforts all season have been nothing short of amazing. The transition they made from the less than inspiring performance of the last couple years into a true juggernaut was testament to the incredible players and coaches there. Lead by maybe the rightful Most Valuable Player Drew Breeze, and a next generation Dick Vermeil in Shaun Peyton, I felt honored to watch you all season. But with that being said, allow me to also say that the best team is not advancing to the Super Bowl in Miami. I know a lot of people would argue with me about the two points that I am going to make, but I think it gives justification to a point I made in an earlier blog I wrote “Super Bust”.

The first point I will make is that it took five turn overs by the Minnesota Viking, including two fumbles they manage to recover, and overtime to win a playoff game at home. I know most of you are screaming that “that’s part of football, not turning the ball over”, and I agree. But if you have a plus four turnover margin at home in the playoffs, you should crush the other team. Not narrowly win in overtime. But I see your point.

Next, I will cite the atrocious calls in during the last drive. It took a questionable spot and a phantom pass interference call, to name two, just to get the Saints into scoring position. How is that possible considering the above mentioned turnover ratio. That’s two merciless in one game.
And my last point. As mentioned above (“Super Bust”), my article addresses the issue of the NFL being the only major group sport in which there is a single game played to decide the champion, not a series. If the same game was played ten more times, the Viking win. It took all the saints had, and some help, to beat the worst the Vikings had to offer.

By: Matthew Walden

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Super Bowl Over Under

As the hype and analysis of the Super-Bowl heats up speculation will begin about who will do what and how and why. Predictions will emerge and ideas will be thrown about, and while there are no guarantees in life much less the NFL, I am going to make a bold unprecedented prophecy: Defense will NOT win this championship. I am a believer more than most in: play tough defense, 3-yards-and-a-cloud-of-dust offense, old school strategy. Maybe my memo to Sean Peyton and Jim Caldwell got lost in the shuffle somewhere. These teams best defense is their offense, period. Neither team finished in the top half of the NFL in total defense this year, neither managed to overwhelm opponents with sacks. If you dig, you will see that the colts were second in defensive 3rd down conversions and that the saints were 3rd in turnover margin. While I will never undermine the value of those statistics, the fact that they are not accompanied by other indicators of defensive prowess says to me that these defenses are specialized, not dominant, and good not super. Let me be clear (Damn you Obama for ruining that phrase for the rest of time), these defenses have playmakers and at some point their presence will be felt, but unlike Super-Bowl XLIII when the faltering of Pittsburgh’s defense came as a surprise, this year people will be surprised when the Defenses make a stop. Quote me fellow NFL devotees, the over/under currently stands at 56.5, I am breaking my piggy bank and mortgaging the…well I live in an apartment, but I am betting all I have on the over.

Total D PYPG RYPG Turnover rank Sacks 3rd down % PPG
Indy 18 14 24 t-13 16 2 8
NO 25 26 21 3 13 19 20

By: Aaron Tull & Matthew Walden

Monday, January 25, 2010

Less than Expected

I started this blog as an assignment for a class. I didn’t really think it was going to be that much work. I love football. All me and my boys do is talk football. I just have to write some of these pearls of wisdom down right? Get on the old HP a few times a week and spew out a plethora of football knowledge. And really that is all it takes. I have been openly critical of almost every major sports analyst and network. I have bastardized their work as elementary and un insightful. Save Carucci, Jaws, Sporting New, and a few select others, I still believe that to be true. However, I more than underestimated the amount of work that it takes, not only to compose a sports article or blog, but to create an insightful piece of writing. Something that goes a little deeper than scores and big plays. Something that goes further than simple analysis. I figured a few minutes a day, and two or three hundred words later, I would have a master piece of fact and figures to woo all, and put those professionals to shame. The sad truth is that I do already rival most of them. But that’s like saying my garbage is better than your garbage. It takes real dedication, insight, knowledge, understanding, time, hard work, research and much more to write a truly good blog. I wish that wasn’t the case. I have to write one of there about every day. I could spend the next month just researching and talking about the sham MVP award. But instead I have to write mediocre article to fulfill a requirement for class. No I am not blaming the professor, I just shouldn’t have taken on such an overwhelming task of becoming the next great sport analyst. So, in short, I apologize for less that inspiring work, but I hope you can take my ideas and expand them.

By: Matthew Walden